Austerity, military spending and Trump’s temper: the war in Ukraine continues
After months of the West distracting itself with elections, Ukraine is back in the headlines. Three years of fighting, tens of thousands dead, and Donald Trump insists he can end it all. So long as he doesn’t completely fall out with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, storm off in a huff and leave all of Europe to Russia.
The great dealmaker will strike again, he says, if only the world will listen and give America access to Ukraine’s mineral resources, and show appropriate gratitude for being treated like a piece in Trump’s Make America Great Again game.
We’re on our own
Ukraine’s independence or territorial integrity doesn’t matter to Trump. Already, he has begun laying the groundwork for a potential sellout. He accused Zelenskyy of being a dictator, echoing the talking points of those who see Ukraine’s resistance as an inconvenience rather than a cause worth defending, and then had a very public falling out with Zelenskyy on TV.
Trump and the MAGA crowd at best don’t really care what happens in Ukraine and at worst are selling Ukraine out to Vladimir Putin because Trump never could resist the charms of a strongman. Trump’s willingness to undercut Ukraine is an alarming sign of what could come next for the rest of Europe. We’re on our own against Putin’s violent imperialism.
Justice for Ukraine
In Britain, the establishment line remains firm: support Ukraine, back NATO, stand against Russian aggression. It’s easy to claim that Trump is disrupting that consensus. He may present his approach as the populist will of the people, like his stances on immigration or trans rights, but this time, I don't think he’s channelling a popular sentiment. Certainly not in the UK. I want justice for Ukraine, and I believe most people do too. I see Putin as the aggressor and so do most other Brits.
Although Britain and Europe’s support for Ukraine comes at a cost. Not as high as the cost to Ukraine itself for fighting the war, but in these lean times the cost to Britain cannot be dismissed out of hand. Even by those of us who believe Ukraine has a right to self-determination.
Austerity is the order of the day
As Keir Starmer’s Labour government scramble to fund military aid, austerity is the order of the day. Especially as tax rises and borrowing are still off the table. I don't agree with increasing defence spending while public services suffer. The UK is now cutting foreign aid to redirect funds to the military, a move that former Development Secretary Clare Short did not hesitate to criticise.
What annoys me more is the suggestion from a Labour aide that only the “middle-class, educated London-type voter” would care about such cuts. As if the working class people of Middlesbrough are really pleased that their local schools and hospitals are being sacrificed so that we can have a bigger army. How blatant does Starmer’s Labour have to be that they don’t want my vote?
An impossible situation
I am deeply sceptical of how much we are spending on this war and whether increasing defence budgets is the right answer. I’m not the only one. Scottish Labour MP Brian Leishman, has circulated a letter that calls for defence budget increases to be funded by a wealth tax instead of Labour “turning its back on communities facing poverty, conflict and insecurity".
However, I also want Ukraine to survive this conflict and not lose its identity or a chunk of itself to an invading army. I know that the war should end with a negotiated settlement, not violence, but how do you negotiate with Putin; a war criminal who cannot be trusted for a second. It’s an impossible situation.
I understand that there is a contradiction here. I want Ukraine to be a free and independent state, but I am hesitant about sending British troops and weapons to Ukraine. I don’t have a problem with arming Ukraine, I just don’t want more austerity in the UK to pay for it when taxes could be raised. Supporting Ukraine is popular in Britain. I find it hard to believe that people, especially the wealthy, would be mortally opposed to paying more tax to help Ukraine. More austerity for more defence spending is not in our best interests
Hypocrisy and cruelty
Everyone has an opinion on the war in Ukraine, and most reveal glaring hypocrisy. The establishment preaches about sovereignty and war crimes in Ukraine, but turns a blind eye when it comes to Israel and Gaza. Another country lies in ruins, more collective punishment is meted out. Yet the outrage is selective.
I agree with Judith N. Shklar that hypocrisy is overly criticised amongst politicians and that cruelty is much worse. Trump is cruel, but he’s let off because he’s no hypocrite. Well, there’s enough cruelty to go around right now. The attacks on Ukraine and Gaza are both cruel, and I oppose them both.
Why Ukraine matters
I don’t believe that Putin wants to conquer all of Europe, like a modern Napoleon, but he should still be opposed. If Putin is allowed to succeed in Ukraine he will next turn to states like Poland and Hungary, bullying them out of NATO and the EU, and under closer Russian control. Putin will then be in a stronger position to further destabilise liberal democracies all around the world by pushing disinformation online and supporting far-right parties in the West.
Putin’s victory would also embolden any other state that wants to use military power to achieve political ends. China would invade Taiwan. Israel would be even more willing to attack its neighbours. All because the idea that every state, no matter its size or strength, has the right to self-determination would have been thrown in the dust bin of history.
This is why it’s important that Ukraine triumphs over Russia. Not just for the future of Ukraine, but for the ongoing fight against authoritarianism that will define the 21st century.
Flirting with Putin
Meanwhile, the right flirts with Putin, drawn to his hardline stance against the so-called “woke agenda” and the fact that he is the toughest chimp in the cage and the right can’t resist the appeal of a big tough might-makes-right-guy.
Then there’s the centrists, who never met a foreign conflict they didn’t want to throw our army and someone else’s children into. Their rush to escalate is concerning, and Starmer’s suggestion that British troops could be sent to Ukraine is mainly his chance to look tougher on the world stage, recently convening world leaders in London to show support for Ukraine.
Then again, supporting Ukraine seems to be something that Starmer actually believes in. It’s the one issue where he doesn’t flip-flop to the opinion that tests best in focus groups. Ironically, this show of passion is actually fixing the death spiral in his poll ratings. Will he break his tax pledges over Ukraine, but not for the NHS, the economy, or the environment? It could happen.
Morally wrong and ineffective
I don't like Trump’s willingness to sell out Ukraine because he can’t magically resolve the conflict in 5 minutes; the length of Trump’s attention span. Not only because it’s morally wrong, but because it won’t work.
If Putin is allowed to consolidate his gains, he will simply regroup and attack again when it suits him. Putin held to the 30-day ceasefire agreed recently for only a few hours. Ukraine knows that Putin can’t be trusted, which is why they won’t accept peace on unfavourable terms. Trump doesn’t care about justice, only about ending the war and taking credit, regardless of the long-term consequences.
So the war will continue. Costs will mount. Trump may disrupt the status quo, and even pull American support for Ukraine, but Europe will press on without him, justifying ever more spending and sacrifice. However, how can I say I support Ukraine, without being willing to do anything? This is why I feel weapons should be sent to the fight, but that austerity isn’t the way to pay for it.
Image by Gerd Altmann from Pixabay